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NRL Grand Final Day - Last Thoughts
I’ve spent the week putting together ~5,000 words of preview content, but still have a couple of notes that didn’t make it in.
Graham On The Run: Whether or not Harrison Graham starts or comes off the bench, I’ll be looking for what he brings with his running game. He’s more of an attacking dummy half than Phoenix Crossland so can bring something different to the Knights attack.
I covered the Roosters middle and marker defence ahead of their Preliminary Final against the Dolphins. They will have to be on their game to contain him all the way up the field.

Graham has a nice little kicking game around the line, too. That will add further stress to the defenders around the ruck and can hold James Tedesco up slightly longer. Of course, with what the Knights might earn with the ball, they lose a key defender in Crossland. Graham will provide a moment in attack that contributes to a big play. The key for the 24-year-old is to end up as a net positive through strong defence.
Post-Contact Metres: One number that stood out when trawling through the stats pages this week is post contact metres.
In total, the Roosters lead the NRL at 593.6 post-contact metres per game to the Knights’ 498.5 metres at 17th. The Knights aren’t a prolific team when it comes to overall running metres, so seeing the Roosters so far ahead post-contact didn’t come as a big surprise.
However, when narrowing it down further to post-contact metres per carry, the numbers and rankings still hold up.
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Roosters vs Knights
Post-contact metres
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||
| Team | Per game | Per carry |
| Roosters |
593.6
1st
|
3.16
1st
|
| Knights |
498.5
17th
|
2.78
17th
|
| 2026 averages. Per carry = post-contact metres ÷ runs. Source: NRL.com | ||
The Knights aren’t always looking to push through contact. Instead, they’re more likely to drop short onto their elbows and knees to generate a quick play-the-ball. Still, it’s a number to keep an eye on in this one.
NRLW Grand Final: I don’t get to see a lot of the NRLW these days, but I keep up with it enough to know this should be a banger.
Like the mens team, the Sydney Roosters are favourites. They’re stacked with some of the best players in the game. The Brisbane Broncos have the best player I’ve ever seen in the women’s game, though.
Tamika Upton can win it on her own if the pack can get forward with Ali Brigginshaw and Jesse Southwell guiding the team around the field.
Oscar isn’t the NRLW Guru, so check his preview here.
Read less, know more.
That's it. That’s the pitch.
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Reserve Grade Super Bowl: Unlike last year when the Warriors hung 50 points on the Burleigh Bears, we might see a competitive game between the Penrith Panthers and Redcliffe Dolphins here.
The Panthers send out NSW Cup Player of the Year, Jaxon Edgar, behind a strong forward pack led by Kalani Leilua-Going. Penrith are deserving favourites, but this Dolphins side has plenty of points in them. Trai Fuller sets a high floor in attack on his own. Jake Averillo is an NRL-calibre player with the ball while Josh James is a consistent QCup performer. Brad Schneider at lock provides the Dolphins with the ability to move the ball through the middle while Brent Woolf will keep the markers honest out of dummy half.
A Panthers team on the front foot will have too much for the Dolphins, but if the Queensland side can score early points and apply some scoreboard pressure to promote a more expansive approach out of Penrith, we will have a game on our hands.
Grand Final ‘Entertainment’: We’d be better off not doing anything at this point. Especially considering the game could have secured one of the biggest names in the world…
Super League Grand Final (Spoiler): Scroll on if you took the sleep in ahead of a big day and are saving this game for later.
Check the above links for more, but shoutout to Max Jowitt throwing this beauty with a freshly dislocated finger in his last appearance for Wakefield.

NRL Grand Final Team Lists
Premium members received two articles breaking down the X’s and O’s on both sides of the ball earlier in the week. Click through to read one for free if you’ve not claimed the freebie for this month already. Better yet, sign up for $1 to read both and receive everything to come throughout the Rugby League World Cup.
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Knights
Tries scored by channel
|
|||||
| Channel | Tries | Share | |||
| Left |
|
48 | 39% | ||
| Middle |
|
30 | 24% | ||
| Right |
|
46 | 37% | ||
| Source: Stats Insider | |||||
|
Knights
Tries conceded by channel
|
|||||
| Channel | Tries | Share | |||
| Left |
|
48 | 43% | ||
| Middle |
|
25 | 25% | ||
| Right |
|
32 | 32% | ||
| Source: Stats Insider | |||||
|
Roosters
Tries scored by channel
|
|||||
| Channel | Tries | Share | |||
| Left |
|
48 | 38% | ||
| Middle |
|
26 | 20% | ||
| Right |
|
54 | 42% | ||
| Source: Stats Insider | |||||
|
Roosters
Tries conceded by channel
|
|||||
| Channel | Tries | Share | |||
| Left |
|
33 | 34% | ||
| Middle |
|
27 | 28% | ||
| Right |
|
38 | 39% | ||
| Source: Stats Insider | |||||
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